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Volatility

How to measure how much a stock moves on an average day, and why that number sets your stop, your target and your size.

The whole course

Disclosure, not advice

The strategies, scores and signals here are produced by an algorithmic system and based on technical data only. They are not investment advice or a substitute for professional advice, we are not investment advisors. Trading involves risk, and every decision and action is solely the user's responsibility.

Day tradingLesson 9 of 344 min

Volatility

A stock that moves half a percent a day will not hand you a three percent gain, however pretty the pattern. Volatility measures the only question that matters first: how much room is there here at all.

Average true range

The standard volatility measure is average true range: how many points the stock moves on an average day, gaps included. Convert it to a percentage of price so you can compare a 20 stock with a 400 stock.

It answers three questions at once. How far must the stop sit to survive normal noise? Is my target even reachable within a day? And how many shares may I buy, given that a volatile name needs a wider stop?

The rule that ties it together

A stop narrower than half the daily range will be hit almost every time — not because you were wrong, but because the stock breathes. A stop wider than about two daily ranges is usually too far for a single day. The useful band sits between them, and size follows from the formula in the foundations track.

Stock selection follows from this too: if a name averages under about 2% a day, most days it lacks the movement to cover spread, commission and error. And if it averages over 8%, it demands a far smaller position than you'd assume.

Volatility changes

Volatility isn't constant: it compresses on quiet days and explodes around earnings, rate decisions and macro events. A trader using last month's number on an earnings morning is using a far too narrow stop. Always measure against current conditions.

Terms from this lesson

טווח אמיתי ממוצעAverage True Range (ATR)
The stock's average daily movement, gaps included. The basis for stops and targets.
תנודתיותVolatility
How much price moves. More volatility is more opportunity and equally more risk.
טווחRange
The distance between high and low over a given period.

Practical checklist

  • I know the stock's average daily move, in percent
  • My stop is wide enough to survive normal noise
  • My target is realistic relative to the daily move
  • I checked whether an event is inflating volatility today

Continue here

Volatility & levels for any stockNext: the volume-weighted average price
The full glossary
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