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Measuring performance

Why "how much did I make" is the least useful metric, and what to measure instead.

The whole course

Disclosure, not advice

The strategies, scores and signals here are produced by an algorithmic system and based on technical data only. They are not investment advice or a substitute for professional advice, we are not investment advisors. Trading involves risk, and every decision and action is solely the user's responsibility.

Portfolio & psychologyLesson 33 of 344 min

Measuring performance

A return without its risk is half a number. Someone who made 30% after being down 45% along the way did not beat someone who made 18% with an 8% drawdown — they merely survived a riskier path, and this time it worked out.

What to measure

Return versus a benchmark — because if the index rose 25% and you made 12%, you made money and lost to the passive alternative. Maximum drawdown from the peak — the metric that best predicts whether you can keep following the method. Expectancy per unit of risk. And the share of trades executed to plan, which measures discipline rather than outcome.

The last one is the only metric fully under your control. A single trade's outcome is noisy and partly luck; execution quality is not. A trader who executes 90% of trades to plan will improve; one chasing a monthly return figure will not.

The right time frame

A month is noise. A quarter is a hint. A year starts to be information. Checking returns daily generates a hundred unnecessary decisions a year and reactions to movements that mean nothing. Set a fixed review date — monthly for a long-term portfolio, weekly for swing — and ignore it in between.

And above all: measure gross, costs and taxes separately, then net. A trader who looks only at the final line on the screen doesn't know how much of the return disappears into costs, and therefore can't improve it.

Terms from this lesson

מדד ייחוסBenchmark
The index performance is compared against, usually a broad one.
ירידה מקסימליתMaximum Drawdown
The largest peak-to-trough fall. A method's survivability metric.
תשואה מותאמת סיכוןRisk-Adjusted Return
Return relative to the volatility required to achieve it.
תשואה עודפתAlpha
Return above the benchmark, after adjusting for risk.

Practical checklist

  • I compared my return to a benchmark
  • I know the maximum drawdown I went through
  • I measure gross, costs and net separately
  • I have a fixed review date, and don't check in between

Continue here

Final lesson: behavioural mistakes
The full glossary
Previous lessonConcentration versus diversificationNext lessonBehavioural mistakes
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