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Behavioural mistakes

The seven common mistakes, exactly when each strikes, and the rule that neutralises it.

The whole course

Disclosure, not advice

The strategies, scores and signals here are produced by an algorithmic system and based on technical data only. They are not investment advice or a substitute for professional advice, we are not investment advisors. Trading involves risk, and every decision and action is solely the user's responsibility.

Portfolio & psychologyLesson 34 of 345 min

Behavioural mistakes

Every mistake below is well known, and every one of them will keep happening — because they come from wiring, not ignorance. The fix is never "try harder", but a rule set in advance while the head is clear.

Around a loss

Revenge trading: after a loss, the brain demands it back immediately, so it upsizes a bad idea. The rule: after two consecutive losses — a twenty-minute break. After three — the day is over.

Endowment and stop-widening: once you own it, you stop analysing the stock and start defending your decision. That's how a widened stop is born. The rule: the stop is set before entry and never moves back.

Sunk cost: holding a loser because "I've already put so much into it". Money already lost is irrelevant to whether this is the best position for your money today. The rule: ask each morning whether you'd buy it now at this price.

Around a gain

Exiting early: fear of losing a small gain takes you out of the trades that were supposed to carry the year. The rule: a partial exit by fixed rule, and a remainder left to a trailing stop.

Overconfidence after a streak: three winners in a row create the sense that you're reading the market, and immediately after comes a double-size position. The rule: size comes from the calculation, not from mood.

Around information

Confirmation bias: once you own it, you only read what agrees. The rule: before entering, write down explicitly what would prove you wrong — the third line from the thesis lesson.

Fear of missing out: buying after the stock has already run 40%, because everyone is talking about it. That's precisely the point of highest risk and lowest remaining upside. The rule: enter only on a defined setup with a defined stop — if the level is already behind you, there's no trade.

And the rule that covers them all: every rule is written in advance, in a calm moment, not invented in real time. In real time the brain can justify anything, so there's no point arguing with it — you simply read what you wrote earlier.

Terms from this lesson

מסחר נקמהRevenge Trading
Increasing risk right after a loss to win it back.
כשל העלות השקועהSunk Cost Fallacy
Sticking with a decision because of what's already been put into it.
הטיית אישורConfirmation Bias
Seeking information that supports an existing view and ignoring the rest.
פחד להחמיץFOMO
Entering late because of a move that already happened. The highest-risk entry there is.
מסחר יתרOvertrading
Taking trades without conditions, out of boredom or a need to act.

Practical checklist

  • I have a break rule after consecutive losses
  • My stop never moves backwards
  • I wrote what would prove me wrong before entering
  • Position size comes from calculation, not from mood
  • I don't enter once the level is already behind me

Continue here

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